As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. Agree with all comments . 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More to the point could we one day become disillusioned with the US and form a stronger alliance with China, India, Brazil and Asia. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? New York: Free Press, 1992. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. War is a fools game and China knows it. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . 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With all of the above-mentioned commentary, and in particular because Monk has drawn into the mix an historical pivot, there is a need to examine these issues further to highlight where the fear comes from, and where it has its roots. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. Based on history, a war is in the making. Just remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the Japanese and the picture becomes clearer. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Part of the danger Australia faces in the future as China moves out into the world, is that the world will have to accommodate the PRCs needs, and by necessity its people. Another Century of War? What the hell have we done? Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. In March, Adm. Philip Davidson, the head of US Indo-Pacific Command at. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. This guides the question of the optimal future force size, and the subsequent commitment to defence spending, as highlighted by Senator Jim Molan. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. And that was when I was a child !! The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. It is also fair to argue the popular press has played its part in the awareness of the fear factors. Articles that have appeared in the press recently include China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific,[2] New vertical Chinese map gives greater emphasis to South China Sea claims,[3] Return of the samurai: Japan steps away from pacifist constitution as military eyes threat from China,[4] Long March Out of China;[5] and one of the most recent which offers an historical, rather than a straight contemporary assessment, is Paul Monks Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI [World War One],[6] which highlights the course of war being the outcome of particular political processes. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Returning to Senator Lambie, and her comment about the Chinese invasion of Australia,[1] it can be safely assumed that what Lambie is actually referring to is contained in a broad military context: an air- and sea-borne attack culminating in a boots-on-the-ground, physical armed presence not dissimilar to the one taking in place in Ukraine by Russian forces in recent times; the Argentinian invasion of the Falkland Islands/Islas Malvinas in the early 1980s; and the United States invasion of Iraq in 2003. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. Over 90 per cent of the countrys population is spread along coastal areas, with a majority concentrated in a number of urban hubs located on the Pacific, Southern and Indian Ocean sides of the country. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. Have seen the legal document but forget where to locate it. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. Read more. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. The question that can now be asked and the one that returns to the core of this article, is will this result in an invasion of Australia? Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). In the meantime China will continue to invade Australia from an economic perspective and this will have a triad attached: to enable China to exert influence on regional strategic partnerships; to establish China and A-P multilateral deals that actively encourage the use of the Renminbi (sometimes called the Yuan), as a source of collateral; and to pro-actively downgrade Australia-US military commitments and partnerships. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. For example, the ADF can ensure command superiority by protecting its own communications, command, control, computers, intelligence and interoperability (C2I4) structures, systems and networks from hostile disruptive operations, while denying an adversary the ability to utilise theirs. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. they wont need to invade, they will own us. The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. Peace is said to be Wars opposite and everwhile the arming for war denies peace any opportunity of reality except in the mind of man. He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. There is an accommodation that will need to be given over to China and a significant point to focus upon is to observe an historical element, and to realize within it lies a chilling and changing demographic. As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. 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