Josh Green of Hawaii won the Democratic primary for governor, according to The Associated Press, putting himself in a strong position to secure the top office in a reliably blue state. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Im struck by how consistent Greens lead has been, said HNN political analyst Colin Moore. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Lazaro Gamio Gov. Activate your Digital Account now. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022 When polls close Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all Maggie Astor Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). Hawaii Lieutenant Governor Primary Election Results. So I think Duke Aiona recognizes that as well. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. David Ige, a Democrat who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Green also has commanding leads in terms of fundraising and political endorsements. , Vicente Gonzalez, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Texas 34th Congressional District. #7-500 In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. . North Carolina Senate. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Maggie Astor The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. Lazaro Gamio North Carolina's 1st District. You're reading a premium story. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. , Gov. Democratic primary election Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. But with turnout typically much lower in primary elections and in midterm cycles, that delay was not expected this year. Hawaii has two seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and one of its two Democratic senators, Brian Schatz, is up for re-election. Log in now to continue reading this story. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Our average includes all candidates that. Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. Its early days for Vicky Cayetano, but she has her work cut out for her for sure, Moore said. The leading candidates in the Democratic primary the main attraction given the districts partisan tilt are Jill Tokuda, a former state senator, and Patrick Branco, a state representative. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. For the open Senate seat in Ohio, J.D. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. That was nearly three times Mr. Iges 22 percent approval rating, as voters seemed to credit Mr. Green the public face of the states pandemic response rather than the governor for the improving situation. Around the world, the choice to hold elections on Tuesdays may be more of an outlier. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J. Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. David Goodman, Blake Hounshell, Shawn Hubler, Annie Karni, Maya King, Stephanie Lai, Lisa Lerer, Jonathan Martin, Patricia Mazzei, Alyce McFadden, Jennifer Medina, Azi Paybarah, Mitch Smith, Tracey Tully, Jazmine Ulloa, Neil Vigdor and Jonathan Weisman; production by Andy Chen, Amanda Cordero, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, William P. Davis, Kennedy Elliott, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney and Karen Workman. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. Guns were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, with both Ms. Tokuda and Mr. Branco endorsing an assault weapons ban, a minimum age of 21 to buy firearms, and other steps that would go well beyond the bipartisan gun bill Congress passed in June. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. Why does Hawaii hold primary elections on Saturdays? The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). Albert Sun Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. But his approval rating has since soared from 56% to 65%. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. Heres where we think votes remain. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. Election. These numbers are a good sign.. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Alicia Parlapiano In the January Hawaii Poll, 58% of Democratic voters said they would pick Green if the primary were held at that time. Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. , Raphael Warnock, Democrat, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. 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