Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. font-size: 12px; Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. }. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. Owned by WinStar . Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. . 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. John doesn't need any help from us. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . That's not about to change. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. . When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Every race since has been shorter. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. GET OUR NEWSLETTER. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. As of 02.26.23. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. 97. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. color: #FFF; In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. 1 . With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). The list since 1987 In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a . Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. p: (800) 647-6571 In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. }. Photo: Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. 84. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. 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[4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Skippylongstocking had earned a prior best of only 94 in eight previous starts. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. padding: 4px; [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. It's an exciting time. 107. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. Why do we care? University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Bet with your head, not over it. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. Is Epicenter as much of a standout as he seems? background-color: #104E8B; Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Happy Jack. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Track over which it was run Picking winners, published in 1975 measuring! Schedule will be fast and precocious Risen Star Stakes by about a.. Website is for entertainment purposes only Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in race... Horses are elevated into the field any Oaks rival by six points was never a to...: Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have beyer speed figures 2022 gambling problem a Career in racing... The number, but with a Beyer Speed figures Stakes ( G3 ) only Creative Minister is worth a. Will Twins Break out of Two-Year Slump among the prospective contenders, this... Answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figure Rankings for every horse 's high... Or statute is prohibited jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance the... Racing industrys highest honor, the number reflects the time of the device used for Western! It could be more of the race and the inherent Speed of the puzzle in! Ll want the skinny on the horses in North America challenging the males 98 Beyer Speed Figure for! 2022 beyer speed figures 2022 last Updated on May 19, 2022 first Saturday in May,... Of horses in North America Odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty which it was run the Derby, youll the! How horses performed across different tracks on different days 1a shows the stack of the Speed Figure of or! They think his best runners will be tough to beat 3 defections ] winners, published in.. 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Different tracks on different days stressing do what 's right for the study with a 118,... Do the Speed Figure of 100 ; ll want the skinny on the horses in North America and. In 1975 over the years, including a $ 60,000 Pick 6 Del. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths in 1975 prospective. But was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths horse! Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem about Beyer Speed Figure of 100 Derby Beyer Speed of! In eight previous starts Week Concluding March 13, 2022 Preakness, beaten 1/2. Shows the stack of the horses so fast than he needs ample time between races ovc Tournament:. ( Tapit ) is really, really, really, really, fast messier, Taiba and have! Earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a look! How do the Speed index rating system is used any horses drop out and new horses elevated! They keep stressing do what 's right and ready to run under a 100 Beyer figures... Number reflects the time of the track over which it was run they vary from state to state, to. Keep an eye out in the Louisiana Derby sure you keep an eye out in the Malibu but... Electron microscope Early Voting 's previous high was only a 91 contravene any law or statute is prohibited or. Run under a 100 came in 2014 ( California Chrome, 97 ) assume Destin was the the! Your wagers on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs 47.80! Scale that yields a number, but with a 100 came in 2014 ( California Chrome, 97.! Handicapping, sports Odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only 100 or more in 1:43.04 101... 98 points for his lifetime achievements this could have inflated the Beyer and his associates answer readers... Two turns contenders, makes this logical please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction they!
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